Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Mariano Matamoros
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.53)
0.21 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 50.9% | 11.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
45.3%
1 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Correcaminos UAT II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zacatepec 1948 | 0 | 45.3% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 50% | 30% | 41% | 55% | 18% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 36% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Loses | 17% | 30% | 23% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
Form: Zacatepec 1948: LWLWWLWLWDWDDWDLDDWDWD • Correcaminos UAT II: WDDDWDLWLDWDLWWLWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 41% | 59% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 5% | 27% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Correcaminos UAT II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Zacatepec 1948 or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zacatepec 1948 = 0.59 (league 1.53), Correcaminos UAT II = 0.21 (league 1.17)
| Correcaminos UAT II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zacatepec 1948 | 0 | 45.3% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 50.9% · Away win 11.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1