Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio El Hogar
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.53)
0.78 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.0% | 26.7% | 20.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Zap | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | 0 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 32% | 23% |
| Defense | 86% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 10% | 43% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 24% | 45% | 0% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 70% | 33% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDDWWLWW • Deportivo Zap: LDWDLWLLWWWWLDLWWDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 57% | 73% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 10% | 50% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 23% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.46 (league 1.53), Deportivo Zap = 0.78 (league 1.15)
| Deportivo Zap | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | 0 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 20.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1