Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano
Expected Goals
3.60 (league 1.53)
0.69 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.6%
4 - 0
9.6%
2 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Hidalgo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Apodaca | 0 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 41% | 32% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 91% | 73% | 82% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Draws | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 18% | 9% | 64% | 60% | 62% |
Form: Real Apodaca: WWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWLWLDWW • Atletico Hidalgo: DLLDWLLLLLLLLWDWLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 17 | 43 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 67% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 27% | 24% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 5% | 14% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 60.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 40.00% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-7 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Apodaca | Atletico Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Real Apodaca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Apodaca = 3.60 (league 1.53), Atletico Hidalgo = 0.69 (league 1.15)
| Atletico Hidalgo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Apodaca | 0 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 3.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1