Tue, Mar 24 2026 • 02:05 •
Estadio Ignacio López Rayón
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.53)
1.03 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 35.0% | 52.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.5%
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Apodaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 24.7% | 25.5% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 62% |
| Defense | 69% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 30% | 17% | 23% | 92% | 73% | 83% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 41% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 36% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
Form: Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDLLWDDDDWDWLD • Real Apodaca: WWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWLWLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 46 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 19 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 77% | 91% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 27% | 61% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 43% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 36.4% | 63.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Apodaca and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zitacuaro = 0.37 (league 1.53), Real Apodaca = 1.03 (league 1.16)
| Real Apodaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 24.7% | 25.5% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 52.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1