Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Mariano Matamoros
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.53)
1.32 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 28.8% | 58.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 0
17.4%
0 - 2
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Zacatepec 1948 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Canamy | 0 | 17.4% | 22.9% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 82% | 73% |
| Defense | 0% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 13 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 20% | 23% | 22% | 54% | 36% | 46% |
| Draws | 30% | 38% | 35% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 38% | 43% | 15% | 27% | 21% |
Form: Sporting Canamy: LLDDDWWDWWDDDLLLLLLLWDL • Zacatepec 1948: LWLWWLWLWDWDDWDLDDWDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 21 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 24 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 87% | 58% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 52% | 29% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 30% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 33.33% |
| Total | 0 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Canamy | Zacatepec 1948 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Zacatepec 1948
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Canamy = 0.43 (league 1.53), Zacatepec 1948 = 1.32 (league 1.16)
| Zacatepec 1948 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Canamy | 0 | 17.4% | 22.9% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 58.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1