Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.54) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.0% 23.1% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Zitacuaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 7.2% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.0% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLobos ULMXZitacuaro
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack50%42%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lobos ULMX Zitacuaro
HATHAT
Played121224111223
Wins50%33%42%27%17%22%
Draws17%33%25%45%33%39%
Loses33%33%33%27%50%39%

Form: Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWDWLWWWLLLWDDWDLLWW • Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDLLWDDDDWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Lobos ULMX Zitacuaro
HATHAT
GF total20113191221
GF avg1.70.91.30.81.00.9
GA total121224101929
GA avg1.01.01.00.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLobos ULMXZitacuaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%79%65%78%
1.538%13%17%30%
2.513%8%9%9%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLobos ULMXZitacuaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score459358

Penalties

MetricLobos ULMXZitacuaro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLobos ULMXZitacuaro
Wins31
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-11-32-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-25-0
Goals For7323
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricLobos ULMXZitacuaro
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Dafabet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away4.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lobos ULMX = 1.77 (league 1.54), Zitacuaro = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Zitacuaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 7.2% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.0% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 17.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1