Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Arreola
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.54)
1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.0% | 28.2% | 40.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Chilpancingo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciervos | 0 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 0% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 15% | 16% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 17% | 15% | 16% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 67% | 69% | 68% | 23% | 50% | 36% |
CiervosLLLLLWLLLLLLDLWLDWDLWLDLL
ChilpancingoWLLWLLWLWDDDDWDDLLLDWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 22 | 28 | 50 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciervos | Chilpancingo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 88% | 76% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 68% | 28% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 32% | 12% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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