Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:30 •
Estadio Deportivo Independiente MRCI
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52)
0.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0% | 18.5% | 7.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.7%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chapulineros | 0 | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Chapulineros: WLDL • Tapachula: WLL
League goals
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chapulineros | Tapachula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chapulineros | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Chapulineros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chapulineros = 1.97 (league 1.52), Tapachula = 0.43 (league 1.18)
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chapulineros | 0 | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 7.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1