Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52)
3.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 14.6% | 52.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.0%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportiva Venados | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celaya | 0 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 58% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 73% |
| Defense | 18% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.8 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Celaya: WDWL • Deportiva Venados: WLW
League goals
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celaya | Deportiva Venados | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 75% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 2 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celaya | Deportiva Venados |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Celaya or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Celaya = 1.97 (league 1.52), Deportiva Venados = 3.44 (league 1.18)
| Deportiva Venados | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celaya | 0 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 52.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1