Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio OlÃmpico de Tapachula
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.52)
1.06 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.6% | 29.0% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tapachula | 0 | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 50% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Tapachula: WLLW • Celaya: WLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tapachula | Celaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 80% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tapachula | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Tapachula or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tapachula = 1.15 (league 1.52), Celaya = 1.06 (league 1.18)
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tapachula | 0 | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 33.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1