Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio VÃctor Manuel Reyna
Expected Goals
3.95 (league 1.52)
0.89 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.1%
4 - 0
8.0%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mexicali FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 28% | 28% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWW • Mexicali FC: LWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Mexicali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Winner : Jaguares de Chiapas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jaguares de Chiapas = 3.95 (league 1.52), Mexicali FC = 0.89 (league 1.18)
| Mexicali FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 4.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1