Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.52)
0.48 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.7% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Neza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montañeses | 0 | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 91% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Montañeses: WWLWW • Neza: LLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montañeses | Neza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 40% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montañeses | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Advice: Winner : Montañeses
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montañeses = 2.80 (league 1.52), Neza = 0.48 (league 1.18)
| Neza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montañeses | 0 | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.7% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 4.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1