Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.52) 1.66 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 19.5% 26.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Héroes de Zaci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celaya 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelayaHéroes de Zaci
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack27%67%
Defense33%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celaya Héroes de Zaci
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%0%25%80%0%44%
Draws0%25%13%20%25%22%
Loses50%75%63%0%75%33%

Form: Celaya: WLWLLLLD • Héroes de Zaci: WLWDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Celaya Héroes de Zaci
HATHAT
GF total761310515
GF avg1.81.51.62.01.31.7
GA total611174812
GA avg1.52.82.10.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelayaHéroes de Zaci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%89%89%
1.550%63%56%22%
2.538%38%22%22%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelayaHéroes de Zaci
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricCelayaHéroes de Zaci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCelayaHéroes de Zaci
Wins11
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-1
Biggest losses1-24-13-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricCelayaHéroes de Zaci
Form13%88%
Att29%71%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.0%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Héroes de Zaci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celaya = 2.37 (league 1.52), Héroes de Zaci = 1.66 (league 1.18)

Héroes de Zaci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celaya 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1