Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:00 •
Unidad Deportiva Hugo Sánchez
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.52)
0.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 35.6% | 20.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaguares de Chiapas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tapachula | 0 | 22.3% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 40% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 63% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Tapachula: WLLWWLLL • Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tapachula | Jaguares de Chiapas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Jaguares de Chiapas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tapachula = 0.95 (league 1.52), Jaguares de Chiapas = 0.55 (league 1.18)
| Jaguares de Chiapas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tapachula | 0 | 22.3% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 20.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1