Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 01:00 • Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.52) 1.53 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 20.4% 26.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Celaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter Playa del Carmen 0 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack36%43%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Playa del Carmen Celaya
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins20%80%50%60%0%33%
Draws20%0%10%0%25%11%
Loses60%20%40%40%75%56%

Form: Inter Playa del Carmen: LWLWWWDWLL • Celaya: WLWLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Inter Playa del Carmen Celaya
HATHAT
GF total691511617
GF avg1.21.81.52.21.51.9
GA total671361117
GA avg1.21.41.31.22.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%78%78%
1.540%50%56%56%
2.530%20%44%33%
3.50%0%11%22%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
Wins31
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-0—
Biggest losses2-33-11-24-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricInter Playa del CarmenCelaya
Form64%36%
Att45%55%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Inter Playa del Carmen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter Playa del Carmen = 2.21 (league 1.52), Celaya = 1.53 (league 1.18)

Celaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter Playa del Carmen 0 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1