Liga Premier Serie A — Mexico
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Cancún 86
Match Finished

Pioneros de Cancún

4 - 1

Tapachula

Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.52) 0.88 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 23.8% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tapachula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pioneros de Cancún 0 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPioneros de CancúnTapachula
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack64%73%
Defense9%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pioneros de Cancún Tapachula
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%40%25%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%60%44%60%75%67%

Form: Pioneros de Cancún: LWWWLLLWW • Tapachula: WLLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Pioneros de Cancún Tapachula
HATHAT
GF total58138513
GF avg1.31.61.41.61.31.4
GA total312157815
GA avg0.82.41.71.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePioneros de CancúnTapachula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%78%89%
1.544%56%33%56%
2.511%22%22%22%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPioneros de CancúnTapachula
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricPioneros de CancúnTapachula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPioneros de CancúnTapachula
Wins32
Draws00
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-22-33-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricPioneros de CancúnTapachula
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pioneros de Cancún or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 1xBet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Pioneros de Cancún vs Tapachula

Expected goals (λ): Pioneros de Cancún = 1.71 (league 1.52), Tapachula = 0.88 (league 1.18)

Tapachula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pioneros de Cancún 0 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1