Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Alfonso Diego Molina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.05 (league 1.52) 0.71 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 3.0% 1.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
8.6%
4 - 0
8.5%
3 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mexicali FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportiva Venados 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack50%15%
Defense75%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportiva Venados Mexicali FC
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%40%0%20%
Draws0%20%10%20%0%10%
Loses20%40%30%40%100%70%

Form: Deportiva Venados: WLWWWDWLLW • Mexicali FC: LWLDLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Deportiva Venados Mexicali FC
HATHAT
GF total16723538
GF avg3.21.42.31.00.60.8
GA total741141216
GA avg1.40.81.10.82.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%50%80%
1.570%30%30%50%
2.550%10%0%30%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-42-0—
Biggest losses2-32-10-23-0
Goals For5422
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricDeportiva VenadosMexicali FC
Form70%30%
Att77%23%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Winner : Deportiva Venados

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ 188Bet
Draw5.50 @ Betfair
Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportiva Venados = 5.05 (league 1.52), Mexicali FC = 0.71 (league 1.18)

Mexicali FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportiva Venados 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1