Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.52) 0.95 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 18.1% 13.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cañoneros Marina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapachula 0 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTapachulaCañoneros Marina
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack23%18%
Defense41%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tapachula Cañoneros Marina
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%40%20%30%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses60%80%70%60%80%70%

Form: Tapachula: WLLWWLLLLL • Cañoneros Marina: LWLLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Tapachula Cañoneros Marina
HATHAT
GF total86147411
GF avg1.61.21.41.40.81.1
GA total71219111122
GA avg1.42.41.92.22.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTapachulaCañoneros Marina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%60%90%
1.530%60%30%60%
2.520%30%10%50%
3.510%10%10%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTapachulaCañoneros Marina
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricTapachulaCañoneros Marina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTapachulaCañoneros Marina
Wins22
Draws00
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-31-2
Biggest losses2-34-10-44-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricTapachulaCañoneros Marina
Form0%100%
Att56%44%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cañoneros Marina

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tapachula = 2.32 (league 1.52), Cañoneros Marina = 0.95 (league 1.18)

Cañoneros Marina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapachula 0 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1