Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva del SNTE
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.52)
0.82 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.9% | 25.2% | 19.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexicali FC | 0 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 53% |
| Defense | 32% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 18% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 100% | 73% | 50% | 80% | 64% |
Form: Mexicali FC: LWLDLLLWLLL • Tapachula: WLLWWLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mexicali FC | Tapachula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 55% | 36% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 36% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 18% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 8-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mexicali FC | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Mexicali FC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mexicali FC = 1.58 (league 1.52), Tapachula = 0.82 (league 1.18)
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexicali FC | 0 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 19.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1