Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio VÃctor Manuel Reyna
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.52)
1.63 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | 18.2% | 22.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 45% | 67% | 20% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Form: Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWWWDWWDL • Celaya: WLWLLLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 91% | 82% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 55% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 36% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Jaguares de Chiapas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jaguares de Chiapas = 2.61 (league 1.52), Celaya = 1.63 (league 1.18)
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 22.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1