Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.51)
1.02 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | 21.4% | 18.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 78% | 78% |
| Defense | 22% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 83% | 17% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWWWDWWDLL • Héroes de Zaci: WLWDWLWLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 92% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Jaguares de Chiapas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jaguares de Chiapas = 1.98 (league 1.51), Héroes de Zaci = 1.02 (league 1.17)
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 18.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1