Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Claudio Suárez
Second Half
1 - 4
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.53) 3.27 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 15.0% 55.1%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.6%
1 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tapachula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neza 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.0% 1.9%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.5%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNezaTapachula
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neza Tapachula
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%50%33%42%
Draws17%17%17%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%67%58%

Form: Neza: LLDWLLWDLWWL • Tapachula: WLLWWLLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Neza Tapachula
HATHAT
GF total7815141024
GF avg1.21.31.32.31.72.0
GA total1382171421
GA avg2.21.31.81.22.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNezaTapachula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%83%83%
1.533%42%42%58%
2.517%25%33%25%
3.58%8%25%8%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNezaTapachula
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricNezaTapachula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNezaTapachula
Wins22
Draws10
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-46-02-4
Biggest losses1-53-12-34-1
Goals For3464
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricNezaTapachula
Form54%46%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tapachula and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Marathonbet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Neza = 1.81 (league 1.53), Tapachula = 3.27 (league 1.14)

Tapachula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neza 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.0% 1.9%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.5%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 55.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1