Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.51)
0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.4% | 25.1% | 15.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Montañeses | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 12% |
| Defense | 47% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 29% | 43% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 29% | 57% | 43% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
Form: Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWWWDWWDLLWL • Montañeses: WWLWWLLWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 62% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 21% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Montañeses |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Jaguares de Chiapas or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jaguares de Chiapas = 1.58 (league 1.51), Montañeses = 0.68 (league 1.18)
| Montañeses | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 15.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1