Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Alfonso Diego Molina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.54) 1.93 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 16.2% 21.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.3%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Celaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportiva Venados 0 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 3.2% 6.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.5% 4.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportiva VenadosCelaya
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportiva Venados Celaya
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins71%50%60%75%50%63%
Draws0%25%13%0%13%6%
Loses29%25%27%25%38%31%

Form: Deportiva Venados: WLWWWDWLLWWWWLD • Celaya: WLWLLLLDWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Deportiva Venados Celaya
HATHAT
GF total241640211334
GF avg3.42.02.72.61.62.1
GA total1081861117
GA avg1.41.01.20.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportiva VenadosCelaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%88%44%
1.567%33%63%31%
2.553%7%38%19%
3.527%0%13%13%
4.520%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportiva VenadosCelaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets123459
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricDeportiva VenadosCelaya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDeportiva VenadosCelaya
Wins41
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-11-56-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-24-1
Goals For8563
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricDeportiva VenadosCelaya
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportiva Venados or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportiva Venados = 3.08 (league 1.54), Celaya = 1.93 (league 1.16)

Celaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportiva Venados 0 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 3.2% 6.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.5% 4.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 21.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1