Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Alfonso Diego Molina
Expected Goals
3.09 (league 1.54)
1.94 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | 16.2% | 21.4% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
6.1%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportiva Venados | 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| Loses | 29% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
Deportiva VenadosWLWWWDWLLWWWWLD
CelayaWLWLLLLDWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 16 | 40 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportiva Venados | Celaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 88% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 63% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 7% | 38% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 1-5 | 6-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.58 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings
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