Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 22:00 •
Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.53)
1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | 22.8% | 27.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Neza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 19 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 56% | 47% | 38% | 25% | 31% |
| Draws | 13% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 22% | 35% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
Form: Inter Playa del Carmen: LWLWWWDWLLLLWWDWD • Neza: LLDWLLWDLWWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 59% | 69% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 47% | 31% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 19% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter Playa del Carmen | Neza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Inter Playa del Carmen or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Inter Playa del Carmen = 1.83 (league 1.53), Neza = 1.34 (league 1.15)
| Neza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 27.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1