Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Deportivo Independiente MRCI
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.53)
0.71 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 27.0% | 18.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chapulineros | 0 | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 0% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 26% | 50% | 13% | 33% |
| Draws | 56% | 10% | 32% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 11% | 70% | 42% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
Form: Chapulineros: WLDLLLDDWLWWWDLDLDL • Héroes de Zaci: WLWDWLWLDLWWLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 18 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 74% | 67% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 37% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 16% | 17% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chapulineros | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 60.4% | 39.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Chapulineros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chapulineros = 1.44 (league 1.53), Héroes de Zaci = 0.71 (league 1.14)
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chapulineros | 0 | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 18.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1