Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 02:05 • Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.53) 1.65 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 21.4% 31.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Montañeses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapachula 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTapachulaMontañeses
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack32%36%
Defense68%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tapachula Montañeses
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%30%42%60%44%53%
Draws0%0%0%10%11%11%
Loses44%70%58%30%44%37%

Form: Tapachula: WLLWWLLLLLWWWLLWLWL • Montañeses: WWLWWLLWLWLLLWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Tapachula Montañeses
HATHAT
GF total201737141428
GF avg2.21.71.91.41.61.5
GA total11213271320
GA avg1.22.11.70.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTapachulaMontañeses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%63%53%
1.547%53%42%32%
2.532%26%21%16%
3.521%5%16%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTapachulaMontañeses
HATHAT
Clean sheets303639
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricTapachulaMontañeses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTapachulaMontañeses
Wins32
Draws01
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-44-00-5
Biggest losses2-34-12-43-0
Goals For6445
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricTapachulaMontañeses
Form35%65%
Att47%53%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montañeses

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Superbet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Superbet
No2.31 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tapachula = 2.01 (league 1.53), Montañeses = 1.65 (league 1.16)

Montañeses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapachula 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1