Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio VÃctor Manuel Reyna
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.54)
1.75 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 17.7% | 23.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 53% |
| Defense | 59% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 30% | 45% | 60% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 30% | 60% | 45% | 40% | 70% | 55% |
Form: Jaguares de Chiapas: LLLWWWDWWDLLWLLLWWWL • Tapachula: WLLWWLLLLLWWWLLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 35% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 15% | 20% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-2 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares de Chiapas | Tapachula |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Jaguares de Chiapas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jaguares de Chiapas = 2.72 (league 1.54), Tapachula = 1.75 (league 1.16)
| Tapachula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 23.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1