Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.53) 0.96 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 17.1% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Inter Playa del Carmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celaya 0 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.1% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celaya Inter Playa del Carmen
HATHAT
Played101121111122
Wins80%36%57%55%55%55%
Draws0%18%10%9%18%14%
Loses20%45%33%36%27%32%

Form: Celaya: WLWLLLLDWWWWWWWWDWLWL • Inter Playa del Carmen: LWLWWWDWLLLLWWDWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Celaya Inter Playa del Carmen
HATHAT
GF total251641181533
GF avg2.51.52.01.61.41.5
GA total81927121729
GA avg0.81.71.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%52%77%59%
1.557%38%41%41%
2.533%24%23%23%
3.510%14%9%5%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510549
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
Wins83
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-24-02-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-25-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricCelayaInter Playa del Carmen
Form37%63%
Att44%56%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total48.8%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : Celaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celaya = 2.45 (league 1.53), Inter Playa del Carmen = 0.96 (league 1.16)

Inter Playa del Carmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celaya 0 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.1% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 12.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1