Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.54)
0.97 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Inter Playa del Carmen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celaya | 0 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 80% | 36% | 57% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 18% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| Loses | 20% | 45% | 33% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
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Inter Playa del CarmenLWLWWWDWLLLLWWDWDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 16 | 41 | 18 | 15 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 19 | 27 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 52% | 77% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 38% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 14% | 9% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celaya | Inter Playa del Carmen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ William Hill
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League standings
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