Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.09) 1.04 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 31.2% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 14.1% 14.7% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack75%25%
Defense81%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Torque Cerro Largo
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%75%57%67%75%71%
Draws67%0%29%0%25%14%
Loses0%25%14%33%0%14%

Form: Atletico Torque: LDWWWDW • Cerro Largo: WWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Torque Cerro Largo
HATHAT
GF total6915268
GF avg2.02.32.10.71.51.1
GA total279123
GA avg0.71.81.30.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%86%43%
1.557%29%29%0%
2.529%14%0%0%
3.529%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-41-00-2
Biggest losses—5-20-1—
Goals For4412
Goals Against1511

Model comparison

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro Largo
Form57%43%
Att75%25%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Torque or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away4.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Torque = 0.92 (league 1.09), Cerro Largo = 1.04 (league 1.01)

Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 14.1% 14.7% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1