Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:30 •
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.10)
0.79 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Liverpool Montevideo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 85% | 62% |
| Defense | 85% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 75% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Club Nacional: WLWDWWW • Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Club Nacional = 2.55 (league 1.10), Liverpool Montevideo = 0.79 (league 1.02)
| Liverpool Montevideo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 9.3%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1