Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.19) 0.88 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 17.4% 12.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Nacional 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack85%62%
Defense85%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Nacional Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins75%67%71%50%33%43%
Draws25%0%14%50%33%43%
Loses0%33%14%0%33%14%

Form: Club Nacional: WLWDWWW • Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Club Nacional Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total11516639
GF avg2.81.72.31.51.01.3
GA total347336
GA avg0.81.31.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%57%
1.571%29%43%29%
2.557%14%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-32-00-1
Biggest losses3-02-1
Goals For5321
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Nacional = 2.36 (league 1.19), Liverpool Montevideo = 0.88 (league 0.91)

Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Nacional 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 12.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1