Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.19) 0.73 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 18.5% 11.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progreso 0 5.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgresoWanderers
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack33%11%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progreso Wanderers
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%0%29%0%25%14%
Draws0%25%14%33%0%14%
Loses33%75%57%67%75%71%

Form: Progreso: LLLWLWD • Wanderers: LDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Progreso Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total538022
GF avg1.70.81.10.00.50.3
GA total4711369
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgresoWanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%29%71%
1.514%71%0%43%
2.514%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgresoWanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricProgresoWanderers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricProgresoWanderers
Wins11
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-0
Goals For3101
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricProgresoWanderers
Form70%30%
Att75%25%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Progreso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progreso = 2.15 (league 1.19), Wanderers = 0.73 (league 0.90)

Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progreso 0 5.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1