Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.18) 0.23 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.6% 21.0% 4.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Juventud
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 14.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenarolJuventud
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack56%22%
Defense72%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penarol Juventud
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins100%33%71%50%33%43%
Draws0%33%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%14%50%67%57%

Form: Penarol: WWLWWWD • Juventud: LLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Penarol Juventud
HATHAT
GF total8715325
GF avg2.02.32.10.80.70.7
GA total156437
GA avg0.31.70.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenarolJuventud
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%57%71%
1.571%29%14%29%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenarolJuventud
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricPenarolJuventud
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPenarolJuventud
Wins33
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-10-1
Biggest losses2-10-22-1
Goals For3421
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricPenarolJuventud
Form53%47%
Att71%29%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total69.3%30.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Unibet
Draw4.79 @ Pinnacle
Away8.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penarol = 1.69 (league 1.18), Juventud = 0.23 (league 0.90)

Juventud
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 14.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1