Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 • Mustapekka Areena
Match Finished
0 - 4
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.64) 1.36 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 27.5% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 10.0% 13.6% 9.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGnistanKuPS
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack43%79%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gnistan KuPS
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins33%25%29%77%36%58%
Draws25%33%29%0%45%21%
Loses42%42%42%23%18%21%

Form: Gnistan: LLWLWWDDLWDDLDWLLDWDWLLL • KuPS: DWWWWWWWLLDLLWWDDWWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Gnistan KuPS
HATHAT
GF total171936291544
GF avg1.41.61.52.21.41.8
GA total192544171229
GA avg1.62.11.81.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGnistanKuPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%79%71%
1.554%67%54%33%
2.513%25%33%13%
3.54%8%8%4%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGnistanKuPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets336527
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricGnistanKuPS
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricGnistanKuPS
Wins27
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-56-21-3
Biggest losses2-46-20-33-0
Goals For3563
Goals Against4643

Model comparison

MetricGnistanKuPS
Form29%71%
Att35%65%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or KuPS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.30 @ Unibet
Away1.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ 188Bet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gnistan = 0.94 (league 1.64), KuPS = 1.36 (league 1.64)

KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 10.0% 13.6% 9.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1