Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • OmaSp Stadion
Match Finished

SJK

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.64) 1.69 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 22.5% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ilves
0 1 2 3 4 5
SJK 0 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 4.8% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSJKIlves
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack58%63%
Defense47%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SJK Ilves
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins54%50%52%75%54%64%
Draws31%17%24%17%15%16%
Loses15%33%24%8%31%20%

Form: SJK: WWWWDLLDLLDWWWDWLWWWWDDLW • Ilves: WWWLLWLWDWWLWWDWWDLWWWWWD

League goals

Metric SJK Ilves
HATHAT
GF total282452263056
GF avg2.22.02.12.22.32.2
GA total162238161733
GA avg1.21.81.51.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSJKIlves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%84%92%64%
1.572%40%72%44%
2.536%20%40%16%
3.58%8%16%4%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSJKIlves
HATHAT
Clean sheets224369
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSJKIlves
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricSJKIlves
Wins45
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-43-00-5
Biggest losses2-34-12-35-1
Goals For4435
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricSJKIlves
Form38%62%
Att48%52%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals41%59%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ilves and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Bet365
Draw4.39 @ Pinnacle
Away2.08 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No3.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SJK = 1.75 (league 1.64), Ilves = 1.69 (league 1.64)

Ilves
0 1 2 3 4 5
SJK 0 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 4.8% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1