Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 15:00 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.66) 1.34 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 26.7% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 8.0% 10.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlvesKuPS
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack80%87%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilves KuPS
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins75%50%62%77%46%62%
Draws17%14%15%0%38%19%
Loses8%36%23%23%15%19%

Form: Ilves: WWWLLWLWDWWLWWDWWDLWWWWWDL • KuPS: DWWWWWWWLLDLLWWDDWWWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Ilves KuPS
HATHAT
GF total263157292251
GF avg2.22.22.22.21.72.0
GA total161935171229
GA avg1.31.41.31.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlvesKuPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%65%81%65%
1.569%46%58%31%
2.538%15%38%12%
3.515%4%12%4%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlvesKuPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets369549
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricIlvesKuPS
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricIlvesKuPS
Wins57
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-56-20-4
Biggest losses2-35-10-33-0
Goals For3564
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricIlvesKuPS
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ilves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilves = 1.19 (league 1.66), KuPS = 1.34 (league 1.65)

KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 8.0% 10.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 39.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1