Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66) 1.42 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 25.8% 40.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Inter Turku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 6.9% 9.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlvesInter Turku
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack79%36%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilves Inter Turku
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins69%50%59%54%54%54%
Draws23%14%19%38%23%31%
Loses8%36%22%8%23%15%

Form: Ilves: WWWLLWLWDWWLWWDWWDLWWWWWDLD • Inter Turku: DWWWDDWWWDWDDWWDWWWLLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Ilves Inter Turku
HATHAT
GF total273158262349
GF avg2.12.22.12.01.81.9
GA total171936121325
GA avg1.31.41.30.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlvesInter Turku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%67%85%65%
1.567%44%54%27%
2.537%15%31%4%
3.515%4%15%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlvesInter Turku
HATHAT
Clean sheets369459
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricIlvesInter Turku
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricIlvesInter Turku
Wins53
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-55-01-4
Biggest losses2-35-10-32-1
Goals For3554
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricIlvesInter Turku
Form53%47%
Att69%31%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ilves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilves = 1.26 (league 1.66), Inter Turku = 1.42 (league 1.65)

Inter Turku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 6.9% 9.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1