Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Vare Areena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.64) 1.75 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 22.7% 40.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS 0 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.6% 9.8% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuPSHJK helsinki
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack68%58%
Defense63%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KuPS HJK helsinki
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins77%43%59%54%54%54%
Draws0%43%22%15%23%19%
Loses23%14%19%31%23%27%

Form: KuPS: DWWWWWWWLLDLLWWDDWWWWDLWWWD • HJK helsinki: LLLWDWWWWDWWLLWWWLWWWWDDDL

League goals

Metric KuPS HJK helsinki
HATHAT
GF total292352372966
GF avg2.21.61.92.82.22.5
GA total171330221537
GA avg1.30.91.11.71.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuPSHJK helsinki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%67%81%77%
1.556%30%73%38%
2.537%11%50%23%
3.511%4%31%4%
4.54%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuPSHJK helsinki
HATHAT
Clean sheets549156
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricKuPSHJK helsinki
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricKuPSHJK helsinki
Wins74
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-48-20-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-43-0
Goals For6484
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricKuPSHJK helsinki
Form63%38%
Att54%46%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : KuPS or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ 188Bet
No2.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KuPS = 1.61 (league 1.64), HJK helsinki = 1.75 (league 1.64)

HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS 0 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.6% 9.8% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1