Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 17:00 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.66) 1.78 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 22.7% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 3.5% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.8% 8.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlvesHJK helsinki
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack57%64%
Defense43%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilves HJK helsinki
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%53%59%47%50%48%
Draws21%13%17%20%21%21%
Loses14%33%24%33%29%31%

Form: Ilves: WWWLLWLWDWWLWWDWWDLWWWWWDLDLW • HJK helsinki: LLLWDWWWWDWWLLWWWLWWWWDDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Ilves HJK helsinki
HATHAT
GF total283462413071
GF avg2.02.32.12.72.12.4
GA total192039271845
GA avg1.41.31.31.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlvesHJK helsinki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%69%83%79%
1.566%45%69%41%
2.538%14%48%28%
3.514%3%28%7%
4.53%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlvesHJK helsinki
HATHAT
Clean sheets369156
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricIlvesHJK helsinki
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total88

Streaks

MetricIlvesHJK helsinki
Wins54
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-58-20-4
Biggest losses2-35-11-43-0
Goals For3584
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricIlvesHJK helsinki
Form71%29%
Att47%53%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ilves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Betano
Under 2.53.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ 188Bet
No3.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilves = 1.56 (league 1.66), HJK helsinki = 1.78 (league 1.65)

HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 3.5% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.8% 8.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1