Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:30 • Wiklöf Holding Arena
Match Finished
2 - 1

VPS

Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.66) 2.31 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 19.4% 56.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.1%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
VPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mariehamn 0 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMariehamnVPS
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack47%37%
Defense16%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mariehamn VPS
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins25%18%22%33%27%30%
Draws25%36%30%33%27%30%
Loses50%45%48%33%45%39%

Form: Mariehamn: LWLLWLDWLDLWLDDDLDLWLLD • VPS: WDLLWWDWLWDLLLLDDDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Mariehamn VPS
HATHAT
GF total151126142034
GF avg1.31.01.11.21.81.5
GA total252449161935
GA avg2.12.22.11.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMariehamnVPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%78%
1.526%57%39%61%
2.59%26%17%13%
3.50%26%9%0%
4.50%13%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMariehamnVPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricMariehamnVPS
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMariehamnVPS
Wins12
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-31-5
Biggest losses1-58-20-23-1
Goals For3245
Goals Against5833

Model comparison

MetricMariehamnVPS
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or VPS and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mariehamn = 1.33 (league 1.66), VPS = 2.31 (league 1.63)

VPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mariehamn 0 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1