Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Project Liv Arena TN
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.66) 1.16 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 27.0% 32.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.0%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mariehamn
0 1 2 3 4 5
FF Jaro 0 8.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFF JaroMariehamn
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack60%90%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FF Jaro Mariehamn
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins17%50%33%31%18%25%
Draws25%8%17%23%36%29%
Loses58%42%50%46%45%46%

Form: FF Jaro: WLLLWLDDLLWLWDLLDWWLLWLW • Mariehamn: LWLLWLDWLDLWLDDDLDLWLLDW

League goals

Metric FF Jaro Mariehamn
HATHAT
GF total121628171128
GF avg1.01.31.21.31.01.2
GA total231639262450
GA avg1.91.31.62.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFF JaroMariehamn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%79%79%
1.538%46%29%54%
2.54%29%8%25%
3.50%4%0%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFF JaroMariehamn
HATHAT
Clean sheets044235
Failed to score426325

Penalties

MetricFF JaroMariehamn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFF JaroMariehamn
Wins21
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-43-11-58-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against4358

Model comparison

MetricFF JaroMariehamn
Form46%54%
Att40%60%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mariehamn

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.36 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FF Jaro = 1.32 (league 1.66), Mariehamn = 1.16 (league 1.63)

Mariehamn
0 1 2 3 4 5
FF Jaro 0 8.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1