Ykkönen — Finland
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:30 • Kokkolan Keskuskenttä
Match Finished
1 - 2

MP

Expected Goals
1.72 (league 2.01) 1.14 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 23.8% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
MP
0 1 2 3 4 5
KPV-j 0 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.2% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKPV-jMP
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack50%55%
Defense75%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KPV-j MP
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins83%9%48%58%45%52%
Draws8%36%22%33%18%26%
Loses8%55%30%8%36%22%

Form: KPV-j: DWLWDWDLLWLDWLLWWWLWDWW • MP: LLLDLWWWDWDDDLWWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric KPV-j MP
HATHAT
GF total281341212344
GF avg2.31.21.81.82.11.9
GA total9243381725
GA avg0.82.21.40.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKPV-jMP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%70%78%65%
1.543%35%65%26%
2.526%17%30%13%
3.513%9%9%4%
4.59%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKPV-jMP
HATHAT
Clean sheets707538
Failed to score033325

Penalties

MetricKPV-jMP
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKPV-jMP
Wins35
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-53-01-6
Biggest losses1-47-10-14-0
Goals For5536
Goals Against4724

Model comparison

MetricKPV-jMP
Form43%57%
Att48%52%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total38.0%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.21 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KPV-j = 1.72 (league 2.01), MP = 1.14 (league 1.47)

MP
0 1 2 3 4 5
KPV-j 0 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.2% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1