Ykkönen — Finland
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 15:30 • Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Match Finished

MP

5 - 1

JJK

Expected Goals
1.53 (league 2.01) 0.33 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 24.6% 7.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.8%
2 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
JJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
MP 0 15.6% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 7.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMPJJK
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack85%23%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MP JJK
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%50%54%42%25%33%
Draws33%17%25%33%8%21%
Loses8%33%21%25%67%46%

Form: MP: LLLDLWWWDWDDDLWWWWWDWWWW • JJK: LDWLDWLWLLWDWDLLWWLDWLLL

League goals

Metric MP JJK
HATHAT
GF total21254622830
GF avg1.82.11.91.80.71.3
GA total81826152035
GA avg0.71.51.11.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMPJJK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%67%71%79%
1.567%25%29%42%
2.529%13%13%17%
3.58%4%8%8%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMPJJK
HATHAT
Clean sheets538325
Failed to score325167

Penalties

MetricMPJJK
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMPJJK
Wins52
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-65-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-01-44-0
Goals For3652
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricMPJJK
Form76%24%
Att79%21%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total78.0%22.0%

Advice: Double chance : MP or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.83 @ Pinnacle
Away7.48 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MP = 1.53 (league 2.01), JJK = 0.33 (league 1.47)

JJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
MP 0 15.6% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 7.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1