Ykkönen — Finland
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Vare Areena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 2.01) 2.00 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 21.6% 47.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
MP
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS Akatemia 0 3.0% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.5% 9.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuPS AkatemiaMP
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack67%93%
Defense60%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KuPS Akatemia MP
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%38%48%62%50%56%
Draws17%8%12%31%17%24%
Loses25%54%40%8%33%20%

Form: KuPS Akatemia: WWDLWLLLWDLWLLWWLLWWWDLWW • MP: LLLDLWWWDWDDDLWWWWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric KuPS Akatemia MP
HATHAT
GF total242145262551
GF avg2.01.61.82.02.12.0
GA total17294691827
GA avg1.42.21.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuPS AkatemiaMP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%80%80%68%
1.552%44%68%24%
2.524%24%32%12%
3.512%16%12%4%
4.58%12%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuPS AkatemiaMP
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricKuPS AkatemiaMP
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricKuPS AkatemiaMP
Wins35
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-11-6
Biggest losses1-66-10-14-0
Goals For5456
Goals Against6624

Model comparison

MetricKuPS AkatemiaMP
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h7%93%
Goals12%88%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MP

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.75 @ Bet365
Away1.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KuPS Akatemia = 1.50 (league 2.01), MP = 2.00 (league 1.47)

MP
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS Akatemia 0 3.0% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.5% 9.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 47.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1