Ykkönen — Finland
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • Espoonlahden tekonurmi 2
Match Finished

EPS

0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 2.01) 1.47 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 22.2% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rops
0 1 2 3 4 5
EPS 0 3.4% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEPSRops
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack79%64%
Defense43%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric EPS Rops
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins55%17%35%45%17%30%
Draws9%17%13%18%25%22%
Loses36%67%52%36%58%48%

Form: EPS: LWWLLLWLWLLLDWLLDLWLWDW • Rops: LWWLLLDWLDDWLWWLLLLWLDD

League goals

Metric EPS Rops
HATHAT
GF total181028181432
GF avg1.60.81.21.61.21.4
GA total202646192948
GA avg1.82.22.01.72.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEPSRops
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%87%70%87%
1.530%43%39%61%
2.517%30%22%30%
3.54%22%9%17%
4.50%9%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEPSRops
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricEPSRops
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricEPSRops
Wins22
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-4
Biggest losses1-47-00-55-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against5755

Model comparison

MetricEPSRops
Form67%33%
Att55%45%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h25%75%
Goals23%77%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rops and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Superbet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): EPS = 1.91 (league 2.01), Rops = 1.47 (league 1.47)

Rops
0 1 2 3 4 5
EPS 0 3.4% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1