Ykkönen — Finland
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Porin Urheilukeskus TN
Match Finished
0 - 2

EPS

Expected Goals
2.85 (league 2.01) 0.93 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 13.7% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.3%
3 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
EPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC jazz 0 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC jazzEPS
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack81%56%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC jazz EPS
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%33%46%50%17%33%
Draws17%8%13%8%17%13%
Loses25%58%42%42%67%54%

Form: FC jazz: WLLDWWWLWLWWWWLLDLLDLWWL • EPS: LWWLLLWLWLLLDWLLDLWLWDWL

League goals

Metric FC jazz EPS
HATHAT
GF total311748181028
GF avg2.61.42.01.50.81.2
GA total202040212647
GA avg1.71.71.71.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC jazzEPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%67%88%
1.546%54%29%42%
2.525%29%17%29%
3.517%8%4%21%
4.513%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC jazzEPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score213358

Penalties

MetricFC jazzEPS
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFC jazzEPS
Wins42
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-21-47-0
Goals For7543
Goals Against4457

Model comparison

MetricFC jazzEPS
Form50%50%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC jazz or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.87 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No2.94 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC jazz = 2.85 (league 2.01), EPS = 0.93 (league 1.47)

EPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC jazz 0 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1