Ykkönen — Finland
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Keskuskentta
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 2.01) 1.72 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 23.2% 41.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC jazz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rops 0 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRopsFC jazz
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack67%80%
Defense33%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rops FC jazz
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%23%36%54%33%44%
Draws17%23%20%15%8%12%
Loses33%54%44%31%58%44%

Form: Rops: LWWLLLDWLDDWLWWLLLLWLDDWW • FC jazz: WLLDWWWLWLWWWWLLDLLDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Rops FC jazz
HATHAT
GF total221537311748
GF avg1.81.21.52.41.41.9
GA total212950222042
GA avg1.82.22.01.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRopsFC jazz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%84%76%
1.540%60%44%56%
2.524%28%24%28%
3.512%16%16%8%
4.50%12%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRopsFC jazz
HATHAT
Clean sheets134246
Failed to score347314

Penalties

MetricRopsFC jazz
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricRopsFC jazz
Wins24
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-47-00-5
Biggest losses0-55-00-34-2
Goals For4475
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricRopsFC jazz
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h60%40%
Goals61%39%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rops or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No3.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rops = 1.53 (league 2.01), FC jazz = 1.72 (league 1.47)

FC jazz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rops 0 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1