Ykkönen — Finland
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Espoonlahden urheilupuisto
Match Finished

EPS

5 - 1
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 2.01) 1.84 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 21.8% 38.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atlantis
0 1 2 3 4 5
EPS 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.7% 8.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEPSAtlantis
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack35%76%
Defense76%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.818 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric EPS Atlantis
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins50%21%35%38%23%31%
Draws8%14%12%8%23%15%
Loses42%64%54%54%54%54%

Form: EPS: LWWLLLWLWLLLDWLLDLWLWDWLWL • Atlantis: WLWLLLLLWWDWLLDLLLWWDDLWLL

League goals

Metric EPS Atlantis
HATHAT
GF total181230212041
GF avg1.50.91.21.61.51.6
GA total212748273158
GA avg1.81.91.82.12.42.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEPSAtlantis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%77%73%
1.531%38%50%54%
2.515%27%27%42%
3.54%19%4%27%
4.50%8%0%19%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEPSAtlantis
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score369336

Penalties

MetricEPSAtlantis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricEPSAtlantis
Wins22
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-47-01-56-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against5756

Model comparison

MetricEPSAtlantis
Form64%36%
Att32%68%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : EPS or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Unibet
Draw5.10 @ Superbet
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): EPS = 1.79 (league 2.01), Atlantis = 1.84 (league 1.47)

Atlantis
0 1 2 3 4 5
EPS 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.7% 8.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1